What to Trade Today: A Data‑Driven Look at 195 Profitable Bots
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. All trading involves risk, and past performance — including backtested results — does not guarantee future outcomes. You should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
June 23, 2026 – The backtest report just landed. Across 33 symbols, 195 strategies generated $3.98 million in combined profit from a $20,195 starting capital pool, with an average Sharpe of 1.07 and an average Sortino of 3.45. But not all profits are created equal – grade, consistency, drawdown, and statistical confidence separate the durable edge from the lucky streak.
Note that the migration to only Rithmic is now done so there is no more IBKR analysis.
Here’s what the data says we should be looking at today, and why.
1. The A‑Graders: Exceptional Risk‑Adjusted Returns
Five bots earned an A grade, and two more an A+. These are the standout candidates that catch the eye.
A+ – Live Cattle Futures Screwworm Breakout (LE)
Grade: A+ | Sharpe 2.90 | Profit Factor 13.93 | Max DD 0.7% | 75% win rate
Why it stands out: The bot trades a historic screwworm‑driven rally in live cattle, with institutional flows favoring August 2026 $200 calls. The risk‑adjusted metrics are off the charts – a 0.7% drawdown and a profit factor of nearly 14. This is a low‑risk, high‑reward momentum setup that continues to print.
A – Gold (GC) Long Futures – Fed Dovish Hedge
Grade: A+ | Sharpe 2.05 | Profit Factor 7.68 | Max DD 2.2% | 66.7% win rate
Why it stands out: Gold remains a safe‑haven darling as Fed policy uncertainty lingers. The bot capitalizes on central bank demand and a dovish pivot narrative. A 2.2% drawdown on a 4.2% annual return is exceptional.
A – Bitcoin (BTC) ETF Outflow Momentum Short
Grade: A | Sharpe 3.15 | Profit Factor 2.79 | Max DD 4.2% | 4/6 profitable months
Why it stands out: ETF outflows are still a headwind for Bitcoin. This bot shorts CME Bitcoin futures, capturing the 13‑day outflow streak and negative basis. The Sharpe of 3.15 is the highest among all high‑confidence strategies, and it’s delivered 4 out of 6 positive months.
A – E‑Mini Nasdaq (NQ) AI CapEx Call Butterfly
Grade: A | Sharpe 1.98 | Profit Factor 2.41 | Max DD 5.4% | 8/9 profitable months
Why it stands out: AI capital expenditure is fueling a tech rally. This butterfly capitalizes on the Colossus 2‑driven momentum, with a 56% win rate and a stellar 5.4% drawdown. It’s a consistent monthly winner.
A – Brent Crude Long‑Dated Call for Iran Tension Premium
Grade: A | Sharpe 3.30 | Profit Factor 3.08 | Max DD 8.4% | 3/4 profitable months
Why it stands out: Strait of Hormuz tensions keep a floor under crude. Buying Dec’26 Brent calls while hedging with VLCC freight futures exploits the geopolitical premium with a 3.3 Sharpe and a 60% win rate.
2. The Consistent Monthly Winners (9+ Months Profitable)
These bots have proven they can deliver month‑after‑month, not just in a one‑off event.
Copper AI Demand Momentum (HG) – B+ | 9/16 months AI data center buildouts and green energy demand create a structural bid. Sharpe 1.55, 11.7% max drawdown. A reliable candidate for a core holding.
GC Gold Safe‑Haven Volatility (MGC) – B | 12/17 months Enters on GVZ spikes, exits on VIX >25. A 71% monthly win rate with a 1.5 Sharpe. Good for volatility‑harvesting in a gold portfolio.
Natural Gas Seasonal Collapse (NG) – C | 16/24 months Despite a C grade, the bot has 67% winning months and a 2.2% annual return. It’s a seasonal hedge that works – but the 33% drawdown demands careful position sizing.
G2M_NQ_VolatilityMeanReversion (MNQ) – A | 9/11 months A Gen‑2 micro futures strategy with a Sharpe of 1.82 and a 2.5% drawdown. The 82% monthly win rate is the highest among all equity‑curve stable bots.
3. The High‑Sharpe, Low‑Drawdown Plays
For those who prefer smoother equity curves, these are worth noting:
Bot
Sharpe
Max DD
+Months
CL Crude Oil Geopolitical Breakout (QM)
4.93
8.4%
2/2
Live Cattle Screwworm (LE)
2.90
0.7%
3/4
Bitcoin ETF Outflow (BTC)
3.15
4.2%
4/6
Gold Safe‑Haven Demand Capture (GC)
1.58
5.0%
8/14
The CL Crude Oil Geopolitical Breakout (micro futures) is a standout: a 4.9 Sharpe with only 2 months of data but both profitable. The strategy rides drone‑attack and supply‑shock catalysts, making it a high‑octane candidate for today’s geopolitical climate.
4. The “Why Now” Edge: Native Execution Bots
Bots executed in NATIVE mode (real trading logic) often show explosive returns, but they suffer from low sample sizes. Tread carefully, but a few are worth mentioning:
Gold Futures Fed Pivot Hedge (GC) – $567K P&L, 47% DD A 1‑month wonder with a 62.6% annual return. The 47% drawdown is a red flag, but the profit factor of 2.65 suggests a real edge on Fed pivots. Use small size.
Bitcoin Futures Regulatory Hedge (BTC) – $299K P&L, 24.7% DD Trades the CLARITY Act markup. A 279% annual return with a 5.24 profit factor. High risk, high reward.
Silver Futures Crash Rebound (SI) – $235K, 0% DD A 100% win rate on 5 trades, capturing the 7.5% crash recovery. A rare perfect score, but the low trade count means it’s not a repeatable system.
These native bots are best viewed as event‑driven overlays when the catalyst reappears – not as standalone, always‑on strategies.
5. A Hypothetical Blueprint for Today
If one were to construct a diversified portfolio inspired by the data, it might look something like this:
Allocation
Strategy
Reason
30%
Live Cattle LE (A+)
Tight risk, high consistency
20%
Gold GC Fed Dovish Hedge (A+)
Safe haven + low drawdown
20%
Bitcoin BTC ETF Outflow Short (A)
High Sharpe, trending theme
15%
Copper AI Demand (B+)
Long‑term structural demand
10%
CL Crude Oil Geopolitical Breakout (A)
Geopolitical catalyst
5%
Event‑Native bots (Gold/Silver)
Asymmetric beta on specific triggers
Portfolio expected return (based on weighted historical metrics): ~15–25% annualized with a max drawdown under 10%. Again, this is purely illustrative and not a recommendation.
Final Word
The backtest isn’t a crystal ball, but it’s the best map we have. The bots that consistently earn an A or B grade, show positive months across different market regimes, and keep drawdowns in the single digits are the ones that catch the eye. Avoid the C‑grade traps with high max drawdowns, no matter how tempting the P&L. Stick to the edge that the data confirms, and always remember that past performance is not indicative of future results.
All data sourced from the “Profitable Bots Combined Backtest Report” dated 2026‑06‑23. This is not financial advice. Do your own research and consult a professional before making any trading decisions.